<2> Impact of the Iran War on the U.S. Economy: A Shift in Goldman Sachs’ Outlook

<3> The Economic Consequences of Conflict

The escalating tensions between the United States and Iran have led to a significant shift in the economic outlook, with Goldman Sachs economists Manuel Abecasis and David Mericle issuing a new research note that highlights the far-reaching implications of the conflict on the U.S. economy.

<3> A War Beyond Oil

While the oil price spike is a major concern, the economists argue that the impact of the Iran war goes beyond the energy sector. The conflict has the potential to disrupt global supply chains, leading to a decline in economic activity and a rise in inflation.

<3> The Domino Effect

The Iran war could trigger a domino effect, with a decline in economic activity in the U.S. leading to a decrease in consumer spending, which in turn could lead to a decline in business investment and hiring. This could have a ripple effect on the entire economy, leading to a recession.

<4 href='https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-02-25/goldman-sachs-cuts-u-s-growth-forecast-amid-iran-tensions' target='_blank'>Bloomberg

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